Xiaomi – Tough at the top

RFM AvatarSmall

 

 

 

 

 

First there was media. Now there is ecosystem

  • Xiaomi is not just the largest smartphone vendor in the Chinese market it is also the manufacturer that clocks up the most usage.
  • Xiaomi is now No. 1 in the Chinese market with 14% market share just behind Samsung, Lenovo and Yulong who have 12% each.
  • Huawei has 11% for the number 5 slot. (Canalys).
  • 39% of all smartphones in China are sold by other vendors meaning that the Chinese market is much more fragmented than other markets making it much easier to get to No. 1.
  • While I suspect that Xiaomi is still subscale and losing money, it has reached the number 1 slot in China by following a media and content strategy.
  • This combined with attractive devices is exactly the strategy that Apple followed with the iPod until the app store was launched in July 2008.
  • This has proved to be very successful and Xiaomi users spend more time using apps than Chinese iPhone users do. (see here and here)
  • This usage is particularly concentrated around media consumption clearly indicating Xiaomi’s differentiation in the local market.
  • The company has done exceptionally well to get this far, but this is where the difficulty begins.
  • Apple pioneered the use of apps on smartphones and so was able to hold the market in check until it was ready.
  • Xiaomi does not have this luxury as the market for apps is already well developed.
  • It must now start to bring its fledging ecosystem into maturity by expanding its offering into the other areas of Digital Life.
  • This will be difficult because much bigger and stronger companies such as Alibaba, Baidu and Tencent already have designs on this market and will be competing against it.
  • Furthermore, its foray into the Indian market is unlikely to bring the same kind of rewards that China has.
  • This is because the media consumption upon which it has differentiated its offering in China is unlikely to apply in India.
  • Hence it will be competing on price just like every other Android vendor.
  • However, if Indian volumes are high enough, they may help Xiaomi attain scale and therefore better profitability than many of its peers.
  • Xiaomi is number 1 at home but it is a minnow compared to the big fish it is now up against in the race to provide Digital Life ecosystems to Chinese users.
  • Xiaomi has a chance but it will have be very innovative and allocate its limited resources extremely carefully and efficiently.

 

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

Blog Comments

[…] Top of this list is Xiaomi which is now the No.1 smartphone vendor in China and whose phones are used more than the iPhone. (see here) […]