Archive For

May 2025

China vs. USA – The Isolation Game

The current game mode is isolation. On top of incentivising the Middle East to pivot West, the US Department of Commerce has warned that the...

Artificial Intelligence – The Middle East

Plenty of space, electricity and money The visit of the US President to the Middle East has intensified the friendly competition between Saudi Arabia and...

Arm FQ4 25 – Mean Reversion

Worries have already evaporated Arm reported good results but guided weakly as a result of trade issues which already look like they will not come...

Google – Code Yellow

The warning lights are flashing yellow Apple claims that it has seen the first sign of generative AI impacting Google’s search traffic, meaning that Q2...

China vs. USA– The Long Game Pt. II

The US Administration is very clever or very lucky. The reassessment of the new rule on chip exports from the USA by luck (or by...

China vs. USA– The Long Game

For once, Jensen is not long-term enough. Jensen has bemoaned the potential loss of the Chinese market which he thinks will be worth $50bn. Even...

AMD Q1 25– Party Pooper

USA / China spoils the party. AMD’s excellent results show that it is taking share from Intel in PCs as well as gaining share in...

OpenAI – Implosion Incoming

The chances of collapse have increased materially. The abandonment of the plan to become a public benefit corporation means that the current unstable and conflicted...

China vs. USA – Build the Wall! Pt. II

Balkanisation gathers pace. China’s efforts to become self-sufficient for technology are gathering pace exactly as we predicted, but this will come at the expense of...

Apple and Amazon – AI Laggards

Apple FQ2 25 – AI not a problem yet, but tariffs bite. Apple reported good results, but then guided weakly as it warned of a...