Amazon vs. Google – Battle for the smart home pt. XII.

Amazon gains a short-lived edge over Google. 

  • Amazon is enabling its skills to talk to one another in a move that will greatly enhance the functionality and appeal of Alexa over its rivals unless they immediately follow suit.
  • I suspect that Google’s hardware PR people will now be frantically editing the keynotes and presentations set for next Tuesday (October 9th) to include something around this.
  • Amazon’s Skill Connections is a new ability that allows developers to include the functionality of other developer’s skills when writing to the platform.
  • An example of this would be an airline check-in skill being able to print a boarding pass after check-in by accessing another developer’s printer skill.
  • The airline skill could simply ask the user if he would like to print his boarding pass after checking in with a simple yes resulting in the print out being made.
  • This is exactly the kind of functionality that RFM looks for in a digital ecosystem when it is assessing how well that ecosystem is set up to compete with its services in the long-term.
  • Specifically, this refers to RFM’s Law of Robotics No. 5: data sharing on the device, which assesses how well the Digital Life services of an ecosystem can share data on the device.
  • I think that this is a key attribute towards making services deeper, richer and more intuitive and will soon become a point of differentiation.
  • At the moment, this Amazon’s ability is limited to 5 functionalities and remains in developer preview, but the intent is there to take this much further.
  • Currently, the functionalities available are print an image, webpage or PDF enabled by HP, make a restaurant reservation enabled by OpenTable and ride-hailing enabled by Uber.
  • Effectively what Amazon is enabling is an open API to which developers can publish their abilities to which other developers can access with their own skills.
  • If this works seamlessly, then it is easy to see how Alexa’s (and any other assistant’s) functionality can be drastically improved.
  • This is why I am certain that Google is already working on enabling this for the assistant which may be hurriedly announced next week.
  • Consequently, I don’t think that this will put Amazon ahead for very long, meaning that this is unlikely to close the performance gap to Google.
  • On pure performance, the Google Assistant remains way ahead of Amazon and given that Google Assistant generates a lot more traffic (see here), I see the gap between the two widening from here.
  • This is why I still think that Google has the advantage over Amazon in the smart home leading to its eventual ouster.
  • The one area where I think Google has no chance is in shopping, but Amazon Prime households are affluent enough to have two assistants.
  • Furthermore, because Amazon gives away the Echo Dash Wand, there is no reason why Prime households cannot use Alexa for shopping and Google for everything else.
  • I am warming up to Google once again mainly because it is likely to escape the most unscathed from the current privacy-related backlash and hence should outperform its peers.
  • That being said, privacy advocate Apple is likely to fare the best of all while the current storm rages.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.