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China

China vs. USA – The Screw pt. V

China does not have much of an answer. The outgoing administration will leave its mark with a further significant tightening of export rules and with the moribund state of its...

Pony AI IPO – A Question of Time

Timing of autonomous driving remains very uncertain. Pony AI has gone public on the back of revenues generated from engineering, but real growth will come from ride-sharing fares and when...

USA vs. China – Build the Wall!

The first bricks go up. Huawei’s migration of its smartphone business to its home-grown Harmony OS is the first concrete sign that our long-predicted Balkanisation of the Internet has begun...

PDD & Baidu – Bargains for the Brave

Rotten earnings point towards a state in deep depression. Poor results from both Baidu and PDD point directly to the moribund Chinese economy underpinning the view that nothing will improve...

Tech Newsround – Google & Xiaomi

Google: A badly thought-through remedy. The US Department of Justice is recommending that Google be forced to sell Chrome as a remedy for its illegal monopolisation of the search market...

Alibaba FQ3 25 – Unhappy Hostage.

Alibaba remains captive to China’s poor economy. The performance and outlook at Alibaba are a strong indication that in reality, the Chinese economy remains moribund and that a lot more...

China & Semis – No Score Draw

China and semiconductors are unlikely to change much. A change of administration is likely to mean that there is more noise and bluster but no real change when it comes...

Artificial Intelligence – Hard Times in China

A potential benefit of hardship.  China’s lack of cutting-edge silicon and limited amounts of cash to spend on compute is forcing it to innovate in ways that may allow it...

ASML Q3 24 – The Inevitable

The Chinese are no longer stockpiling.   The combination of economic-related delays and China realising that stockpiling ASML equipment ahead of further bans might not help them very much has...

China Tech – Withering Away

The heart of Chinese innovation is dying. China intends to become a global technology leader but the state of innovation in China is moribund meaning that unless something changes, it...