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Eco-systems

Artificial Intelligence – Broken business

The business model is already broken.  Generative AI start-ups are busily raising money at ludicrous valuations based on the idea that they will be able to charge $20 per month...

SoftBank & Arm – All the stops pt. II

More like Qualcomm than Nvidia.  SoftBank has made public the F-1 for the IPO or Arm which is a fair appraisal of the company, but it does not read like...

SoftBank & Arm – All the stops.

SoftBank leaves no stone unturned in the hunt for $64bn.  The latest transaction between SoftBank and Vision Fund I is an attempt to put a market value down for a...

Peloton – 3rd time lucky?

Peloton is not for the faint of heart.  Peloton is a fallen angel whose shares I resoundingly hated (see here) when it was flying high but it has now been...

Tencent and China – Dog days.

China is now a deeply contrarian investment.   Disappointing results from Tencent combined with the worsening economic outlook and disappearing data make China a deeply contrarian trade and there is...

SoftBank & Arm – IPO conundrum

One of the trickiest IPOs for many years.   SoftBank’s difficulties are increasing after the Chinese economy has hammered the valuation at which it could exit Alibaba and the knock-on...

Ford – Stern stuff

Ford moves deeper into services.   Ford continues to demonstrate its understanding of the opportunity that it needs to address with the migration of its business model to subscription and...

Alibaba FQ1 24– No takers.

Nobody wants to know. Alibaba reported good results beating expectations and the moribund Chinese economy but even at depressed valuations and with a large share buyback, sentiment towards China remains...

WeWork – Still does not work.

WeWork is teetering on the edge. Once a SoftBank darling, WeWork is teetering on the edge of going bankrupt as it has still not fixed the fundamental issues with its...

Palantir & Lucid – Knife edge

Palantir Q2 23 – Valuation knife edge. Palantir met its numbers but a misunderstanding around revenue guidance for 2023 caused the shares to collapse by 12% before recovering in an...