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China vs. USA – 7nm debate

Making a few chips is not enough. The fuss over Huawei’s new chip has gone all the way to the top but the real issue is not if the chip...

SoftBank & Arm – All the stops pt. III

SoftBank is making things difficult. The final details of Arm’s IPO have now been made clear with SoftBank cutting back on the price in a sign that this deal has...

Huawei – 5G debate

Still no hard evidence of 5G. Huawei is now more of a political pawn than ever as its claimed accomplishments are more about demonstrating that China can work around the...

Huawei – 5G non-starter pt. II

No 5G here.  Huawei has released its latest flagship product but its hesitancy to disclose the details of the components that it is using highlights again how unfeasible it is...

SoftBank & Arm – All the stops pt. II

More like Qualcomm than Nvidia.  SoftBank has made public the F-1 for the IPO or Arm which is a fair appraisal of the company, but it does not read like...

Semiconductors Q2 2023 – Supercycle pt. XIII

AI cannot offset the general malaise. The contrast between TSMC and the rest of the semiconductor industry is a result of AI not being big enough to offset weakness elsewhere...

Nvidia & Arm – Price maximisation.

Strategic investors will pay more. SoftBank is engaging in a strategy to maximise the price at which it can sell Arm with the hope that because strategic investors are very...

Samsung Q2 2023 – Supercycle pt. XII

Samsung echoes Micron. Samsung reported the worst set of preliminary results for many years but critically, they were slightly better than expectations and show a similar pattern to Micron where...

China vs. USA – No leverage

History looks set to repeat itself. China’s limitations on Gallium and Germanium will cause some short-term disruption but it will not deliver negotiating leverage and will only accelerate the decoupling...

Micron – Supercycle pt. XI

Bottoming out? Micron reported lower-than-expected losses and guided better for the coming quarter as the company thinks that the worst is over in terms of weak demand and inventory correction...