Microsoft Build 2019 – Nice to have

Plenty of nice. No must-have

  • In a company that is now so dominated by the enterprise, its gaming business increasingly sticks out like a sore thumb begging the question as to whether Microsoft will eventually divest it.
  • Microsoft’s annual developer conference was a business-as-usual event, with incremental improvements here and there that was somewhat spoilt by a Hololens 2 demo that failed to launch.
  • This failure was not a big deal in my opinion as the dry-run worked perfectly and the participants where very upfront about the problem and lost little, if any, credibility as a result.
  • Elsewhere developments included:
    • First, voice transcripts: this is a feature that allows a meeting to be transcribed in real time using just the users’ devices and no fancy microphone arrays.
    • The system can differentiate different speakers via their devices and can be adapted to be able to deal with industry-specific jargon and terminology.
    • This is a new Azure voice service and is a nice add on.
    • Second, virtual meetings: Based on Hololens 2 this allows virtual meetings to be more interactive with participants being able to participate and interact from other devices such as smartphones, tablets, and PCs.
    • Hololens 2 includes the recognition of complex hand movements allowing more intuitive interaction with virtual objects and avatars of other participants.
    • This another piece of nice additional functionality but does not in any way make Hololens a must have or virtual meetings a must do.
  • During the entire conference what really sticks out is how much of a black sheep Microsoft’s gaming offering has become.
  • The company is now entirely focused around the enterprise except for gaming which is consumer.
  • This why I continue to believe that there is no real rational reason why Microsoft should hold on to it.
  • Furthermore, Microsoft’s inability to make anything of Xbox Live gaming on mobile means that a lot of value is being left on the table.
  • This why I continue to believe that someone who can make more of Xbox than just a console offering would be willing to pay more the business than it is worth to Microsoft.
  • Logically at that point, Microsoft would sell it.
  • It is just a question of who and how much.
  • Amazon is a possibility as its own gaming efforts are seemingly going nowhere and could really use a boost.
  • Tencent is another.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.