Epic Games – Rocket powered

Epic fuels its ecosystem ambitions Psyonix adds weight to Fornite’s already mighty presence in the world of digital gaming meaning that Microsoft, Sony, Valve and Google should take notice. Epic Games is acquiring Psyonix which is both a long-term partner as well as the creator of Rocket League, a very popular e-sports game with 50m players. Psyonix does two things...

Apple – The great dictator.

A reason to give your kids Android. Apple vigorously denies that its purge of parental control apps has anything to do with its new Screen Time feature but even its own words cast plenty of doubt on its excuse of “privacy and security”. Parental control apps typically use a technology called mobile device management (MDM). This is administrator level software...

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Apple and Facebook – More of same

Apple FQ2 19 – Stabilisation Apple reported what was considered to be good results as the iPhone business showed greater stabilisation than the more pessimistic end of the market had feared. FQ2 19 revenues / EPS was $58.0bn / $2.46 compared to consensus at $57.5bn / $2.38. Guidance was also ahead of expectations with FQ3 19 revenues / gross margins...

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Google & Samsung – Tough at the top

Google Q1 19 – Risky investments. Google reported disappointing Q1 19 results as both its size and the fact that it is 50% dependent on fixed internet advertising caused it to underperform expectations. Q1 19 ex-TAC revenues / adj-EPS were $29.5bn / $11.90 which were below expectations when compared to consensus at $30.3bn / $13.21. This was largely caused by...

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Samsung vs. Huawei – Fatal fragility

Mate X unlikely to launch on time. The timing of Samsung’s inevitable (see here) delay of retail availability of the Galaxy Fold will be short-lived as while the Huawei’s Mate X has a better design, this choice is likely to have come at the cost of extreme fragility. Samsung has delayed retail availability but for how long will depend on...

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Verizon 5G – Speed not substance

The laws of physics reassert their supremacy. Verizon has been forced to ditch the $10 premium that it charges customers to access the 5G network as the performance delivered is exactly what the laws of physics predicted. Verizon, of course, has dressed this up as a sales promotion but this fools no one. The reality is that frequencies of 28Ghz...

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Facebook Q1 19 – Project Fear

Project Fear fails to reflect reality. Until users vote with their feet, criticism of Facebook’s business practices is irrelevant. A cracking set of results further dispel the notion that the end is nigh for Facebook as neither users nor advertisers are deserting the platform as critics claim. The only real problem remains AI and profitability which are inextricably linked and...

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Twitter Q1 19 – Smoke and mirrors

The switch to DAU hides reality. Twitter reported good results as its actions to stimulate engagement began to bear fruit but any notion that this is a return to long-term growth does not bear up to scrutiny. Q1 19 revenues / net Income were $787m / $191m ahead of consensus at $775m / $117m as product improvements drove users to...

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Autonomous driving – Common roadblock.

Pony’s pilot highlights everyone’s problems. The launch of Pony.ai’s 1st live pilot looks great but digging into some of the details reveals that, just like everyone else, Pony.ai is plagued with the limitations of AI which are going to take a long time to solve. Pony.ai has announced PonyPilot which is a pilot “autonomous” ride-hailing service available in Guangzhou that...

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Uber Autonomous – FOMO syndrome

Japanese investors have a bad case of FOMO syndrome. Fear of missing out (FOMO) is the only rational reason I can come up with for why Toyota and Denso would pour $667m into such an awful asset. I think that the only hope for this billion not to disappear into a black hole is for Uber to buy one of...

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