Artificial Intelligence – The Asymptote

Only AGI can prevent a correction.  More companies and more models all of whom perform within a fairly close range but consume billions of dollars in investment capital point to a correction and a shake-out that only a few will survive. The advent of generative AI powered by large language models (LLMs) has turned the technology sector and many others...

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Apple Intelligence – Chinese Elephants

The problem is much worse than ChatGPT.  A hyperbolic keynote and a $300bn rally later and no one has yet asked how Apple will tackle the problem of rolling out its shiny new AI service in China as the architecture of Apple Intelligence runs completely contrary to the way China likes to do things. Apple Intelligence is constructed from three...

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China vs. USA – Admission of Reality

Huawei says the quiet part out loud.   Huawei has admitted that true leading-edge semiconductor manufacturing is unlikely to be achieved in China, meaning that homegrown technologies that rely on leading-edge semiconductors are going to be more difficult and more expensive to develop. At the 2024 China Mobile Computing Power Network event, Huawei Executive Zhang Pingan gave a keynote where...

Eid el Adha – Back Wednesday June 19

RFM will return after the Eid el Adha holiday on Wednesday 19th June. 

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Electric Vehicles – Unready for Reality pt. III

EU tariffs will weaken demand further.   The EU has announced import tariffs on Chinese EVs that are likely to trigger a retaliation and an increase in price to the European consumer of an EV is likely to slow adoption even further. Recent years have seen Chinese companies make real progress in vehicle manufacturing such that they are currently able...

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Apple Intelligence – Bells and Whistles.

Apple replicates Copilot+ with privacy bells and whistles Apple has made its play in generative AI by picking to copy the best that its competition has to offer and rolling it up with a dedicated server system to ensure that its privacy and security are superior to anything else on offer. Apple Intelligence is a completely closed and exclusive hybrid...

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Nvidia vs. NPU – History Rhymes.

Reminiscent of x86 vs. Arm. The key theme of Computex was the arrival of generative AI on the PC and while most attention was on Copilot+ running on the NPU, Nvidia was quick to remind everyone that if you want real AI horsepower, you need to use an Nvidia graphics card. Copilot+ is a runtime that uses a number of...

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HP vs. Autonomy – Last Laugh

Court decides what I have suspected all along Mike Lynch the ex-CEO of Autonomy has the last laugh in the 12-year battle over who was really to blame for HP’s calamitous acquisition of Autonomy which I have long believed was a result of HP’s incompetence and desperation as opposed to criminal activities by Mike Lynch and his team. In 2011,...

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Computex 2024 Day 3 – Box and Horses

MediaTek: Dark horse of Computex Mediatek rolled out the big guns at its keynote with both Arm and Nvidia CEOs joining Rick Tsai on stage and although it did not say very much, it certainly made its presence felt. The main theme of the session was that MediaTek intends to broaden its portfolio to include AI acceleration in the cloud...

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Computex 2024 Day 2 – Intel

Intel fights the battle of the benchmarks. Intel came out of its corner swinging taking on both Nvidia and Qualcomm in a keynote that was really all about how its latest processors stack up against the new upstarts. Intel was quick to refute Nvidia’s claim that Moore’s law is dead and if any of its data is accurate, there is...

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