Apple’s incremental reality The new reality of the Metaverse appears to have caused Apple to delay its AR headset and although the media still expects it to release a VR-like device this year, I continue to think that there is only downside and no upside in releasing any VR or AR devices before 2025. Apple also updated its Mac lineup...
ChatGPT has Google needlessly rattled. Google has published a thinly veiled push-back against the notion that ChatGPT is a threat to its core search business demonstrating that ChatGPT has made Google nervous. I continue to think that there is no way that ChatGPT is in a position to replace Google anytime soon and so this is more of a PR...
3D without glasses – The great debate. Ever since the TV makers’ disastrous attempt to get us all watching 3D TV at home, 3D outside of the cinema has been plagued by the question of whether it is a solution looking for a problem. The notion of wearing 3D glasses at home is well and truly over meaning that if...
2023 likely to be West vs. East. TSMC added its voice to Samsung’s in calling out the softness in the semiconductor market and I think that H2 2023 is very much up in the air as strength from China will help offset weakness from the West but there is no indication of by how much. TSMC reported Q4 2022 revenues...
There is more to EUV than a patent. There is a very big difference between filing a patent on the reflection of Extreme Ultraviolet light (EUV) and producing a working EUV machine that can be used to make chips in volume with good yields at 7nm and below. Despite this difference, the market seems to think that China is one...
OpenAI is a long way from challenging Google. The hubris around OpenAI following the popularity of ChatGPT continues to grow but the nature of ChatGPT and NLP models, in general, has not changed and they remain wholly unsuited for any task where factual accuracy and truth are important. As a result, I think that Microsoft will struggle to make a...
Qualcomm helps Broadcom for once. Although Apple is intending to design Broadcom out of its iPhones in favour of an in-house solution, I suspect that its inability to design a good 5G modem that works at millimetre wave frequencies will keep Broadcom in Apple devices for longer than many expect. I think that there is plenty of evidence that Apple...
China. China stands out in that although being mostly absent from the show this year, China is the most likely to surprise this year. This is because almost everyone in the industry (and at CES) appears to be universally negative on China which combined with geopolitical tensions has meant that development efforts in this direction have ground to a halt....
CES 2023 – Almost normal Despite a lot of hype, the footfall at CES 2023 is below pre-pandemic levels. There are a number of mitigating factors: First, China, which is largely absent outside of the really big players like TCL who have a local presence. Despite geopolitical tensions, China remains a crucial part of the technology industry and it is...
Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.
Microsoft – single vision.
The end for HoloLens? Part of Microsoft’s 5% workforce reduction includes “changes to our hardware portfolio” which probably does not mean Xbox or Surface meaning that it is almost certainly HoloLens that is taking the hit throwing Microsoft’s Metaverse ambitions into even more uncertainty. HoloLens was once a trailblazer launched in 2015 demonstrated by Joe Belfiore shooting aliens behind a...