Tesla Q1 2022 – Unbelievable robotics.

Hubris mars credibility. Tesla reported great results but then marred its improving credibility by making unrealistic predictions about robotaxis that it has no real hope of fulfilling. Q1 2022 revenues / EPS were $18.8bn / $3.22 nicely ahead of forecasts of $17.9bn / $3.22. Profitability was driven by a shift in the sales mix towards more expensive vehicles and a...

  • Comments Off on Tesla Q1 2022 – Unbelievable robotics.
  • 290

Netflix – The inflation effect

Netflix pays the price for its high multiple. Netflix reported its first subscriber decline as the cost of living crisis is forcing users to tighten their belts which triggered a 25% decline in the shares once again highlighting the risks of high multiple stocks. Q1 2022 revenue / EPS were $7.87bn / $3.53 broadly in line with consensus at $7.94bn...

  • Comments Off on Netflix – The inflation effect
  • 281

Twitter – Price of free speech pt. II

Poison pill is a lawsuit waiting to happen. Twitter’s board has adopted a poison pill in an attempt to block a take-over by Elon Musk in what could easily be argued is a breach of duty to the shareholders leading to one or more lawsuits. The board of Twitter has adopted a rights agreement that it says protects shareholders by...

  • Comments Off on Twitter – Price of free speech pt. II
  • 661

Twitter – The price of free speech

It becomes clear why Mr Musk refused a board seat. Elon Musk’s bid for Twitter appears to be more about his definition of free speech than financial investment as at $43bn he is really going to struggle to make a decent financial return. Elon Musk has made a public bid to buy the 91% of Twitter that he does not...

  • Comments Off on Twitter – The price of free speech
  • 679

Peloton – Restless natives

Activism compounds a legion of problems.  Peloton is now under assault by an activist investor who makes both fair and unfair criticisms of Peloton which make the task of turning the ship around even harder than it already is. Blackwells Capital owns less than 5% but updated its presentation (see here) which bemoans the lack of progress and calls for...

  • Comments Off on Peloton – Restless natives
  • 190

Health Wearables – Grail delay

The Holy Grail of blood pressure is delayed.  It looks as if Apple is delaying its plans to include blood pressure monitoring in the Apple Watch for two or three years, once again indicating how difficult this is to get right and how important it could be once it is finally ready for the market. When it comes to wellness,...

  • Comments Off on Health Wearables – Grail delay
  • 352

Epic, Sony & Lego – Legblox Station

Epic games strengthens its Metaverse silo.  Most of the $2bn being invested in Epic Games will be used to build a version of the Metaverse that will bring together at least 2 of the current players and may offer a challenge to Roblox and Minecraft. Epic Games has raised $2bn at a post-money valuation of $31.5bn with Sony and Lego...

  • Comments Off on Epic, Sony & Lego – Legblox Station
  • 167

Google Hardware– Horrible histories

Spare parts is not a fix.  Google will make spare parts for its Pixel phones available for DIY repair and while this will be generally well-received, it does nothing to address the problem that it is not very good at making hardware. Google has been trying to be more like Apple for years, and despite spending billions of dollars on...

  • Comments Off on Google Hardware– Horrible histories
  • 253

The Metaverse – Enterprise first

Enterprise Metaverse is now.  Almost all of the limitations that are going to prevent the Metaverse from taking off any time soon are much less relevant in the enterprise meaning that it is here where the first traction is likely to be seen. While RFM research strongly suggests that it will be a long time before the Metaverse takes off...

  • Comments Off on The Metaverse – Enterprise first
  • 228

Tesla – Unfounded confidence

Tesla is set up to lose the autonomous race. Tesla’s removal of radar from its models shipping to Europe and the Middle East is the right choice based on its philosophical approach to autonomous driving, but there is a fundamental flaw in this strategy that is going to ensure that Tesla is an also-ran in autonomous driving. Model 3 and...

  • Comments Off on Tesla – Unfounded confidence
  • 219