Jolla – Half the story

RFM AvatarSmall

 

 

 

 

 

Jolla’s new handset is really only half of the story

  • Jolla has released the Jolla Phone with some interesting innovation, but the $520 price tag is going to bring tears to the eyes of many potential buyers.
  • The device is a sleek, buttonless touch device with a 4.5inch touch display, dual core processor and an 8MP camera.
  • What makes the device interesting are the interchangeable backs.
  • At the moment there is just a huge variety of colours and when these are attached to the device, the user interface adapts to match.
  • This is a cool, but useless gimmick but it serves to illustrate the possibilities.
  • Other features like more storage, NFC, input controls and so on could easily be added into the back and these would then become part of the device.
  • This is how a range of different devices could be produced off a single basic platform and it also allows third parties to create their own hardware customisations.
  • This idea has been tried before and has never really taken off but opening up hardware development for third parties is something that may just work.
  • The user experience is as promised and works smoothly and crisply on the hardware that was launched yesterday.
  • Android applications will run on the device thanks to the Alien emulator from Myriad.
  • Myriad have been working on this for a long time and I am hopeful that Android apps will work much better for Jolla than they do on BlackBerry’s awful z10 implementation.
  • The problem is price.
  • At $520, the device is going up against the biggest and the best smartphones in the business.
  • Jolla has no brand, no scale, no ecosystem and nothing like the financial clout required to make a dent against the larger players.
  • That being said, it does have a relationship with the biggest electronics retailer in China but you can’t force users to buy the phones.
  • There is certainly opportunity in developed markets as Android looks very vulnerable but to attack that market, but Jolla needs to rein the price in to be competitive.
  • In China it has a good partner but the price is so high that almost all of the foot traffic in the store will have already been priced out.
  • The end result is a device that is unlikely to sell in any real volume.
  • However, that may not matter as I suspect that the real business for Jolla is in licensing the software to third parties.
  • Once the proof of concept has been shown, there could be some interest from handset makers looking to get out from underneath Google’s and Microsoft’s shirt tails.
  • The business here would be one like Canonical.
  • The platform is free to license but then Jolla would build a version of it to the specification of the customers to take into account their requirements.
  • This is a viable proposition and would leave the horrible business of hardware competition to those that are better suited for it.
  • This is something that could have a future as I seriously doubt that Jolla is going to make it as a handset maker.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

Blog Comments

How is that price steep? That’s just barely over one half of what iPhone 5 or SGS4 costs. Standard price for iPhone 5 16GB is about $900 and SGS4 is little less. I think $540 is an excellent price point for a high-end device.

I don’t understand this talk about the price at all. All other major phones are almost double the price, (Z10 620€, iPhone5 688-930€).
399€ is cheap for a proper smartphone, I was expecting the price to be somewhere around 500€ but the price was a very pleasant surprise for me.

It is because Jolla is a proposition with nothing behind it. There is no ecosystem to speak of. You can get Android apps via an emulator but that is not optimal. Outside of Finland, no one has heard of it. At $520 it is coming at the same price as a Lumia 820, iPhone 4, Samsung Galaxy Siii and a Bbery z10 (in some regions). These guys are all established brands and have an ecosystem offering. Jolla must price below this to get users interested. Jolla is unlikley to attract a handset subsidy from operators.

Furtherore in China almost all of the handset buyers are pryiced out at this price and this is supposed to be Jolla’s main targert market.

At the low end of the market, is there that much clamoring to get out from underneath Google? I suspect most handsets do not need to get early access to the latest Android version. The hardware is necessarily gonna be lagging behind the cutting edge, so they are not gonna be able to run the latest version anyways and waiting a year or whatever until the source code becomes public may not be a big deal.