Apple vs. Samsung – Who’s the daddy now?

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Samsung is eating away at Apple’s image but its fans are still not those with the purchasing power.

  • The problem with being the coolest and the best is that there is only one way to go.
  • It is a paradoxical part of human nature that when everyone has the newest, coolest product, it immediately becomes old hat.
  • This is exactly what seems to be beginning to happen to Apple.
  • Numerous surveys are pointing to the younger generation shifting their desire towards Samsung products and (shock of shocks) Microsoft!
  • This is further exacerbated by the fact that many members of the younger generation end up with hand-me-down Apple products which in its eyes is the epitome of uncool.
  • Samsung and Microsoft have deliberately played on this as much as they can with their marketing tactics and it does seem to bringing in some results.
  • Last night’s Superbowl was a classic example with Samsung spending $15m on a two minute advert (see it here) that succeeded in stealing more of the cool factor from Apple.
  • To my mind, this represents a great investment for the future, but the problem with courting the younger generation is that they have little or no disposable income.
  • It is great to be the owner of a product that many people want to buy, but if few of those people can actually afford to purchase the product, then one is not going to reap the benefits.
  • While Samsung’s brand and share are clearly on the ascendency it is primarily with those that are less affluent and less able to indulge their desires.
  • Hence, I suspect that Apple is not going to lose out nearly as quickly as the nay-sayers are now begging to predict.
  • The end result will be a slower than expected loss in market share and a company that performs better than many expect.
  • Going back to my Apple bond analysis, for a long-term investor the shares look like they offer incredible value as long as one can withstand the twists and turns of short-term sentiment.

 

 

 

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

Blog Comments

Great points but I agree that one and only one survey has shown apple losing its cool factor. It was from a so far unheard of company that also predicted MS tablets being cool; these have not been reflected in the numbers as yet nor any other surveys from reliable survey companies.

I have seen it from at least two surveys and a couple of operators as well….and the anecdotes are flying aorund like crazy….agree though that surveys can be horribly nreliable…however its the delta that interests me…a year ago all the surverys were Apple Apple Apple ra ra ra!

Coolness is an overrated factor for a maturing product line and technology sector. It attracts Early Adopters, so Microsoft needs it to get reestablished in phones and tablets, as does Blackberry to move beyond its email and messaging core. In the US, smartphones are already being taken up by the Late Majority, hence the demand for iPhone 4, and so perceived value and reliability of the mobile ecosystem will sell there many more iPhones and Android phones than coolness.

If this wasn’t so, Windows would have died years ago.

I am not so sure,,,thats probably why Microsoft has failed to make it in phones for 16 years….I think phones are still a personal item and hence a statement about yourself and therefore coolness is probably still important….PC’s however is another case entirley