Intel – Dull, but right

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The floundering challenge of ARM reduces pressure for Intel to do anything radical.

  • Intel has announced the appointment of Brian Krzanich as CEO of Intel following the retirement of Paul Otellini.
  • Mr Krzanich has been COO since January 2012 and is a 30 year veteran of Intel having started in 1982 as an engineer in the New Mexico Fab.
  • His speciality is chip manufacturing and he was mostly responsible for managing the move towards foundry business.
  • Mr Krzanich has been chosen over a raft of external candidates most interesting of which was Sanjay Jha, ex-CEO Motorola Mobility and ex-COO Qualcomm.
  • This choice speaks volumes about how things have changed in the last 12 months.
  • In the last year, the threat to Intel has diminished markedly and to me this is what makes an internal candidate a dull, but correct choice.
  • Firstly, ARM has made no meaningful impact into the computing market.
  • In fact, so bad is Windows RT, that I expect most manufacturers to pull their offerings any time now.
  • I think that the only hope for ARM in this space is complete harmonisation of Windows 8.
  • What I mean by that is that from a user perspective there should be no difference when it comes to buying a Windows 8 device.
  • It will take time for all the third party software to become compatible but there is no reason why the core of Windows 8 should be harmonised.
  • The user’s choice should be made on performance, battery life and price alone and he should not have to worry about a locked desktop etc etc.
  • The powers that be inform me that this will be very difficult to achieve, but until it is I firmly believe that ARM is going nowhere in this space.
  • Secondly, Intel has improved.
  • Its latest round of chips for mobile devices is actually pretty good.
  • There are Intel powered mobile devices that run Android at $400 that compete effectively at that price range.
  • While there is still a gap when it comes to power consumption, I think that Intel has gotten over the worst of its issues as its devices can now go from morning to night on a single charge.
  • This is a key criterion as almost all smartphones need to be charged while the user sleeps if they are not to run out of juice the next day.
  • Hence, I think that Intel is right to focus on manufacturing as its future as the pressure for a huge change in strategic direction has been lifted for the time being.
  • Intel has its best friend Microsoft largely to thank for that.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

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