Twitter – Show me the Money

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Cash needs to be the number 1 priority at Twitter.

  • I am a big fan of the service but I don’t pay a dime for it and I never see any advertising.
  • There are several hundreds of millions of people like me and Twitter must start to monetise us properly if it is to be a viable business.
  • This, I think, is why Twitter is tinkering with its iOS and Android applications and why I think that it will turn off third party access to its service.
  • At the moment Twitter earns money by highlighting tweets when users search but it is failing to monetise the data that it is collecting from the content of people’s tweets.
  • This is actually more difficult than it sounds, as it is just a text service.
  • Furthermore, I suspect it is impossible when users access the service via a third party API.
  • This would be where Twitter has been integrated into other applications such as the contact application on a smartphone, tablet or PC.
  • When I look at digital life, micro-blogging is only a tiny fraction of the overall time that a user spends online and hence it can only command a fraction of the monetisation opportunity.
  • Combine this with the difficulties in monetising a free, text based service and I can see how justifying a $10.5bn valuation is a real challenge.
  • This is what I believe the latest updates to the iOS and Android applications are all about.
  • A new top tweets feature has been added where Twitter will add the most relevant tweets to the results of a search.
  • It seems pretty obvious that Twitter will include sponsored results and for this it will get paid.
  • Hence Twitter is making moves to increase its ability to monetise its service but far more needs to be done.
  • This is also why I believe that Twitter will turn off its third party API, forcing users to come to its own applications or its website in order to access the service.
  • It is only there, that it can control the user experience in order to add content for which it will get paid.
  • This is a baby step but the real challenge is for Twitter to move out of just being a micro-blogging service and to address the rest of the digital life pie.
  • Twitter has made moves in this direction with its relationship with American Express, Chirpify and others to encroach into Ebay’s space but I need to see more not to be worried about justifying the valuation.
  • Its still very early days for Twitter if it wants to be a major force in the internet and given the amount of work it has in front of it, its far too early to even consider an IPO. 

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

Blog Comments

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